British
economic growth is expected to surpass pre-recession peak in the second
half of 2014 driven by strengthening household consumption, said the
British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) on Thursday.The BCC upgraded
Britain's GDP growth forecasts from 1.3 percent to 1.4 percent in 2013
and from 2.2 percent to 2.7 percent in 2014. But it marginally
downgraded its 2015 forecast from 2.5 percent to 2.4 percent.In the
first quarter of 2008, the British economic growth was reportedly hit an
annualized rate of 2.5 percent."We expect GDP growth to remain strong
in the short-term, as the housing market continues to boost household
consumption," said John Longworth, BCC Director General. "But while it
was necessary to rely on the consumer and on housing in the early part
of the recovery, it must now become more balanced, particularly towards
exports, as household consumption will slow."
Longworth
said that the BCC believed that "an environment that fosters enterprise
and wealth creation is essential so that UK firms can continue to trade
the world, invest at home, and create jobs."According to the BCC's
forecast, Britain will reach its threshold of 7 percent unemployment
rate in the third quarter of 2015.It predicted that the number of
British jobless people will fall from 2.466 million, with the
unemployment rate at 7.6 percent,Shop vintage,contemporary lighting mid-century,
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elastic, sleepy baby diaper.400 million, at a rate of 7.3 percent, in
the third quarter of 2014, and to 2.304 million, at 7.0 percent, in the
third quarter of 2015.The predicted fall in unemployment is due to
improved short-term growth prospects and increased labour market
flexibility, said the BBC. But the BCC warned a risk of further public
sector job losses, which would limit the size of any decline.In its
Economic Forecast report, the BCC also forecasted that Bank of England
(BOE) will raise official interest rates to 0.75 percent in the fourth
quarter of 2015 from the current record low 0.5 percent, following the 7
percent unemployment rate threshold being reached in the previous
quarter.A further increase to 1.0 percent is predicted by the BCC in the
first quarter of 2016, but the Quantitative Easing programme will stay
unchanged until at least the first quarter of 2016.
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